Bitcoin's development in terms of price will happen in a matter of time. It could be another year or two. We can imagine what the price conditions will be in 2019 and 2020, while it is unexpected how in 2021.
My assumption is that this year there will be a price recovery that will occur in bitcoin, if it follows the cycle as you said before, but it cannot be clearly predicted in what month it will occur, because my calculations in 2024 bitcoin will reach the next ATH, that means 2023 is likely to see a gradual recovery of bitcoin.
We are not at the bottom yet, or are we? Bitcoin is already below $20k, or already 25% of its All time high. I don't know if the bear market will end this year, but if it will, then I guess we should be ready for another huge run, and by saying ready, that means you already have accumulated enough to enjoy the bull market.
I guess if bitcoin will still continue to go down, it will not anymore drop below $10k.