The match will be a surprise for us because both Arsenal and Newcastle United have had impressive performances in the Premier League so far, with only one loss each. However, Arsenal has won more matches than Newcastle United, which is why they are nine points behind Arsenal.
Furthermore, based on their last five match statistics, Arsenal has won four and lost one. Arsenal has a good chance of winning today's match because they are also playing at home.
That's why one would think that Arsenal are the favorites in this match. Arsenal were again able to maintain their best performance when they beat Brighton 2-4 in the previous match, this was enough to motivate them to keep a safe distance from second place by winning 3 more points.
I can probably consider a draw for this match even though Arsenal are ahead on H2H basis over Newcastle. Both teams are doing well, and I expect a great game today from both of them. @2.90 for a draw I think the odds are fair. Both need to win but if Arsenal lose then I think that's fine too.