Interesting table but they don't have a same total match. Manchester United can take over the third position from Newcastle United that have 1 more match than Manchester United. Manchester City have one less match than Arsenal and if they beat Chelsea, they will have only 5 points less than Arsenal with same total match. It is hard to say what team will win because they are similar in quality but Manchester United have better tradition and more experience than Newcastle United. This season is a first one Newcastle United can participate in top four after many years.
Still many team have postponed matches and make team don't have the same total matches until matchday matchday 19 and and several teams have played from 17 until 18 matches. I think before first half season ended all team will play for their postponed match and opening second half season without any team doesn't have total matches each other.
I don't think easy for Manchester United catching positing from Newcastle United have impressive performance in this season success lead to 3rd standing until having 18 matches, up next match, Manchester United face Manchester City and excited derby because United in positive trend after World Cup 2022 won 3 matches in Primer League.