Though I am not a market analyst, but I agree with your opinion that worst is over now, and Bitcoin is already bottomed out. We might not see Bitcoin falling to 14K or even lower, but it can only happen if we see repeat of FTX like collapse of any big exchange...
It should be noted that those who are optimistic and believe that we have started an upward movement in the market - 50%. The other half of traders believe that we have not yet seen the minimum price and expects that they will have the opportunity to buy bitcoin for 8-10 thousand dollars.