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but having in back on my mind that the price is in uptrend so it's more likely that they will go up then down.
If you're sure an instrument you're trading is in uptrend, you just have to resist the temptation of taking shorts on it no matter how certain you think it will dump. Only look out for long positions. Don't swim against the tide, like they say. Trading against the trend is analogous to swimming against the tide. Anyone who attempts that will always fail at it. The market is of course the teacher. It has never lost against any trader.
Always follow the trend no matter what. The probability that it goes uptrend is higher than it goes downtrend. Ive really learned this as before I was looking for opposite trade and not looking the bigger picture. Mostly if the chart you see that it is uptrend look for uptrend so that we can remove those noise and decide which trade to take. You can really see the picture when you see it in the higher timeframes and also try to check your indicator.