After I figured it out, I no longer expect Bitcoin to be recognized by the state, and it doesn't need to be. It is part of a special asset, not a currency.
So I don't think Bitcoin is going to become a fiat currency.
maybe it is 50/50 , in the future it may half of government will adopt bitcoin but the other half will remain distance , Yes there are some countries now that starts the adoption but its slow moving?
some of your point is legit but this does not concern me at all because as long as it will function and let people use it without banning? i care nothing to be adopted or not.