Hello crypto bros, today I want to share my thoughts on when it will be the best time to buy bitcoin. Don't get me wrong, I'm not saying that you shouldn't buy bitcoin right now, DCA is still the best tactic. But it's still good to know WHEN it will be the best time to safely invest money in bitcoin and be sure that it will probably go up from now on. But I won't be bothering you with TA analysis (that is probably wrong) and strange predictions, today we will just look at the facts. I'll start by saying that yes, I think we are still in the bear market and it's obvious that the economy is still suffering. And it's not a secret that bitcoin still didn't decouple from the NASDAQ so we should understand that if the economy goes down => bonds go down => bitcoin goes down too. So we still might see some down movements and maybe we will even see a new button because statistically something always breaks down after fed pivot.
So we can safely say that we will see a true bull run only when the economy will start recovering, but it can't happen until rates will start going down. That's why right now I think that we all should wait for the one single indicator: lowering of the rates. Bitcoin won't go up mediately, but it will mean that economy will start recovering => more money will go to the assets => and bitcoin and bonds will go up.
The only question is when will it happen? Well, if we look at how fast inflation is going down, I can assume that it will probably go down to the expected 3-4% in the Q4 of 2023. So I'm not expecting a bull run until 2024.
But again, I don't want you all to be bearish on bitcoin or selling it. For most people, DCA is enough to survive this crypto winter, but if you want to invest a lot of money in bitcoin, then I think it's better to wait until the signal we talked about.
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