Bitcoin halving is characterised by price boom and this is a general believe of some bitcoiners and members of this forum.
My greatest fear is; what if 2024 halving comes and go without any kind of bull run? Don't you think that there will be a serious problem and panic in the industry?
This is because 2024 halving is the greatest available hype that can move the market. Besides that, I don't see any possible wave that can move Bitcoin to a new ATH. Unless US government will have to make BTC a legal tender.
In late 2017 or about early 2018, Bitcoin had a massive spike in price and was trading for a record price of $20k. Then It was the first time Bitcoin was getting to that milestone and shortly after the bear market came alone to drive the price down to about $3k-$4k. After this massive decrease in price, many people thought Bitcoin would never go that high again but it did in 2021 as Bitcoin crossed the previous all time high and set a new one.
Now when that new high of about $69k was reached, many didn't believe that was the top as they expected similar spike in price as it did in the previous bull cycle but it didn't happened and many people were caught off guard. I just told this story so you know Bitcoin has its own well of operation and doesn't follow any prediction.
2024 might come and it'll be a slow year all through most of the year then close to the ending, suddenly the volumes starts spiking up and Bitcoin crosses a new all time high that same year or the very next year 2025 which is usually the time Bitcoin moons.