Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A)
by
maju69
on 08/02/2023, 19:03:30 UTC
The gap to the last spot for Champions League is 13 points, 12 points for the Europa League, or mathematically it is about 4-5 matches win.
With the fact that there are still 17 matches to go, mathematically Juventus is still having the chance to catch the position but ofc it is hard.
What Juventus need to do now is to try to win all the remaining 17 matches and hoping for the other team above their current position losing many points.
It is not impossible to happen but really hard to happen unless there will be miracles for them.  Grin

Mathematically, this is unrealistic. This is far from 4-5 games. 4th place averages 65% of possible points, which is almost 2 points per game. So if Juventus play perfectly and always take three points and all other teams play as usual, then Juventus will need 13 games to get to fourth place. At 17 games it looks sort of possible, but I think you'll agree that it only looks realistic in theory.
Yes, it's just a matter of calculating the odds, which are certainly very different from what happens in the field. But if Juventus can wipe out all the remaining games they have then they will be in I think. But can they do that? to be honest personally I doubt they will be able to get a perfect win from the 17 matches they played.