I did not state or expect that Europe would freeze over this winter. It was immediately obvious that the authorities would not allow this and the energy-intensive industry would become a victim of the energy shortage, which actually happened.
Funny thing is that only Europeans have been saying "Europe would freeze over this winter" because they've been hearing it in their own media over and over again. It's actually a pretty simple and interesting propaganda method. The propaganda machine convinces people of a horrible scenario but from the mouth of a third party (so that they are not liable). Then in the future when something terrible (but less bad as that scenario like 11k gas bill or
increased excess mortality due to cold homes) happens people react less negatively or simply don't even believe it.
It is interesting because it is basic human behavior that we see in every society and even in markets. Like when price of something (goods, utility bills, etc.) goes up a lot and then comes back down a little (eg. $100 up to $1000 then down to $800) people are happy!
German found another technology - while the other countries look for the alternatives too.
EU also imposed a cap on Russian oil and gas and they are all trying to put pressure on them and weaken them but this is not possible this easy.