Do you mean that you are sure the price of Bitcoin will reach $30k because you have it found from your research?
I'm not sure and I would still say that Bitcoin prices remain unpredictable no matter what we do. We can't assume that everything will do the same just like in the past years and most of all, we can't even be sure when will be the next Bull season. I would tell you that the market trend is behaving differently and it is probably because investors had also changed.