Re: It's on! 2024 US Presidential Election Biden+Harris Vs Trump Bitcoin betting....
Ever since the Brexit really happened and ever since Trump won the elections in 2016, I think nothing is impossible anymore. I mean I would expect people to have learnt something from the last elections, how people raided the Capitol with five people dying when Trump publicly called for a riot. Who wants that? And yet Trump has his followers. Last time I thought it was more about entertainment, but now everybody should know that Trump isn't entertaining, the guy is evil. In 2020 the voter turnout was roughly 8% higher than in 2016, which is probably a sign for a good number of people to have woken up back then as they understood the consequences of not casting a vote. One question now is whether those who voted for the democrats last time now also take it seriously that casting no vote brings RP back into the game.
You are right that the turnout was much higher in 2020, when compared to 2016. Back in 2016, Sanders supporters were not happy with the choice of Hilary and they didn't got out to vote. But in 2020, Joe Biden emerged as a the consensus candidate and that pushed up the voting numbers. But despite all that, the margin in popular vote was not that great. And Trump still received 11 million more votes when compared to what he got in 2016. So there was a polarization from both the sides, with white working class preferring Trump.
And the voting patterns have roughly remained the same, as evident from the results of 2022 midterms. And in swing states, I guess the Democrats have got much stronger. The Republicans have almost written off states such as Arizona, Colorado, Pennsylvania and Michigan, and at the same time they are facing heat in many of the red states like South Carolina, Georgia and Alaska.
