I spend 15 minutes reading this paper, but doesn't understand a thing. It's a shame they don't spend some time to write example or simpler explanation on their website.
--snip--
No, it's not. The author has made a very common mistake. This mistake is a consequence of a superficial understanding of probability theory.
Satoshi has made a good job and his calculation of the chain weight is correct.
If you disagree with me we can dive into details.
What do you think about takeaway/explanation by one of the author?
https://twitter.com/mechanikalk/status/1633694566200094723