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Justin Gaethje's wrestling is over hyped in my opinion. He has never shown that he wants to wrestle I cannot remember a time where he tried to take down his opponent. Instead he likes to have a stand up heavy game plan and likes to knock people out. He could have easily won some of his losses if he knew how to wrestle I know he has a long history at high school level and I think he was a state champion but he has not shown that in the UFC and I think he will try his same game plan of standing and trying to knock out Rafael.
Yeah many people consider Gaethje is a wrestler, but if you look at his few matches and the result, he's not a wrestler, but more like a kickboxer. However I still think Gaethje is better than Fisiev since he's more well rounded, Gaethje can give a surprise when the fight happen, he can force Fisiev to play on ground fight. If the fight goes do distance, Fisiev has a slight edge, but if it's a ground fight I believe Gaethje will win this match.