Any predictions for where we will be March 2024?
Celebrating with your friends?
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FrbAkeCWwAA0bx0?format=jpg&name=large
You seem just as confident now as you were almost exactly 1 year ago when you were defending the fact that the special military operation was still going on weeks later not because Russia was facing any setbacks, they just wanted to minimize civilian casualties is all...and don't worry, there will be a Parade in Kiev come May...
When it comes to the future, you always have to deal with probabilities, because, unlike the present, the future is not yet a fait accompli. The probabilistic nature of the future does not allow making predictions with 100% accuracy. When making my prediction regarding the victory parade in Kyiv, I proceeded from the assumption that Ukraine will soberly assess its capabilities in confrontation with Russia and will act in accordance with prudence and its own benefit. However, I was wrong in this assumption - Ukraine chose to get involved in a suicidal adventure, completely neglecting the instinct of self-preservation and acting to its own detriment. In all respects, it would have been wiser and more profitable for Ukraine to unconditionally capitulate a year ago.Why would they capitulate? Everything points toward conclusion that they were preparing 8 years for this war, and never had intention to accept Minsk 2
Very honorable of them, martyring themselves for the US and Nato. The world will remember them... for a few short years. When you're dead, Russian soldiers can't kill you, and US/Nato countries can't let you die.
But why let your kids die for nothing. Oh, yes. Honor. Imaginary honor?
Ask Putin this question.
Earth to Russia: empires are out, and nation-states are in. Pay attention.