I somehow missed the above prediction and I'd say we aren't even going to the bearish 245k, here's why.
We could say the last bull market was low yield. It only took ups up from 20 to 70 and that's very weak compared to 2013 and 2017. If this continues or stays comparably low we'll reach close to 3x 70 in the next 2 years and reach 200-220k.

But may be the real top was 60k? 70 was reached with a much lower volume. If the real macro top was 60k that would put us below 200k at the next ATH.

There's even a worse scenario.
If the cycles are going to keep bringing less profit each time it would mean less than 3.5x this cycle. Maybe 2x this time and 1.5x next cycle, which would give us 140k by the end of next year and 200k 4 years later.