You are right. It is much more difficult to predict which team will win the Champions League title. Manchester City and PSG were the favorites for the title in the last few seasons. But they could not win the title. On the other hand, the Chelsea team won the title in the 2020-21 season. No one expects Chelsea to win the Champions League title. And so I would say every team that qualified for the quarter-finals has a chance to win the Champions League title. It is impossible to predict which team will win the title so early.
Maybe by first going through the first leg of the quarterfinals we can start predicting which team will have the ability to be able to compete in the finals later, because these quarterfinals are the best teams who even though they didn't perform satisfactorily in the local league but they managed to beat their opponents in this competition, if the assessment is the results in the league then Napoli and Benfica have a chance to reach the final but other teams have better statistics in the champions league Real Madrid, Bayern Munich, so it's really early enough to say which team will win because every team has a same chance because football is often unpredictable.