Numerous fundamental factors and several technicals converge in this area presently.  You need to do some catchup reading.  The  bear case always boils down to fud - which is a legitimate and important factor.  The bull case always boils down to facts and logic - sometimes erroneous but on the whole fairly sound ( although exhaustive scenario analysis is of course infeasible or even impossible).  It is just possible that facts and logic will dominate in the long run. Not certain, but the upside is huge if they do.