If I only can measure the real probabilities of these events, i would have made a fortune. /s As of today it is mostly blah bl;ah, BUT, if the start printing en masse again (in the face of 5-6% inflation), then all bets are off. Right now, i am enjoying almost 5% in my money market funds, but started to look wearily on a gigantic money flow there...don't like crowded trades.