and I'm not sure if it's possible for them to close that gap in 10 rounds left. Therefore, Arsenal will have more desire to win this match, but Liverpool are definitely capable of surprises.
Why not? 10 extra games means 30 potential points for them and even if they only manage to get 6-7 wins, that would be 18-21 potential points not to mention extra 3 points if they get a draw or something from the remaining 3 games. There is alot at stake here and all teams would be playing their best to get the remaining points from the last 10 games so yeah its going to be tough but top 5 is pretty much still viable for Liverpool
It's really not sure that Liverpool can finish in the top five, and even if you have a good calculation but still, Liverpool at this moment is not having a stable performance. So, even though for example Liverpool can hold Arsenal to a draw and maybe beat Arsenal, but because Liverpool don't have consistent results and so for the next match there is no guarantee for Liverpool to consistently win full points.
So, for me personally then I'm not going to force myself to assume about Liverpool being able to finish in the top five. Because at the same time, the teams above them also certainly have efforts to be able to finish and or maintain their position in fifth place in the Premier League standings.