The winner will be the person with closest prediction and you can be lucky if bitcoin falls under your prediction.This is also luck game as you speculate prices based on your prediction so I don't think there is something like if someone deserves it or not the prize will go to close predictions.
I completely agree with you. There is no deserving person in this contest since it all comes down to luck at the end of the day. This contest is similar to the wheel of fortune without any minimum wagering requirements.
People who have zero idea about BTC price predictions won this contest several times all thanks to luck frankly speaking.