Post
Topic
Board Politics & Society
Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress]
by
tvbcof
on 12/04/2023, 10:10:01 UTC
Interesting voting in the Duma. The RF seems to be doing so well and having so much success that from now on the citizens can be notified of them being mobilised by an "email" (short of) and, just in case, they are no longer allowed to remove or delete their account from the electronic system of the government (most have an account).

So... yes, they have played the "patriotic card", then the "good pay" card, then the "slave army" card, then the "pardon for criminals" card... and there it goes a new one "you cannot scape" card. Who knows, maybe even some of the people from Moscow and St Petersburg might be mobilised.

Needless to say that this is about the Kremlin psychos noticing that the Ukrainian offensive to recover their land may go as far as breaking the bridge to Crimea. Bad news is that modern warfare is not about throwing meat into the grinder.

BTW, this is a recognition of "being at war" since, none of this can be legally done unless at war.

The Russian leadership, in both strategy and tactics, seem to be very interested in preserving the lives of as many Russian servicemen as practicable.  The exceptions seem to be localized where a regional commander wishes to make a name for themselves.  In these cases the high command does seem to relieving the commanders of their commands.

Beyond that, there are very clear, direct, and demonstrable threats from the West to Russian values and life-ways.  In other words, unlike anything which I (as an American) have seen in my lifetime, there is something worth fighting for/against and it goes beyond simply inflating profits for corporations and the political/economic elite.

Given the above two features, I cannot say what I would do as a Russian of an age group where I could be called upon.  As someone with a history of 'getting my ass out of Dodge' in the face of a threat of being forced to 'defend' 'my nation', I very well might comply with a conscription order were I a Russian.  There is even an outside chance that I might even volunteer...and especially if it might get me a more safe service position.

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What I would also do, when the dust settled, is to be pretty strong in demanding action on the 'oligarchs' of Russia on the basis of who did the bullet-stopping.  Putin was somewhat hard on some of them, but at the end of the day it seems that his tribal 'enemy' oligarchs for the most part had their stuff transferred to 'friends' who were also of the same tribe.  And many the great-grandkids of tribal members who appropriated everyone's stuff in the Bolshevik revolution.  (Marx wrote extensively of the theory of economic system progression, but he seemed to have left out the part about what comes after the Communism phase and we had to see it in real-life.)

There is a credible argument to be made that having 'tribal' oligarchs has been necessary under the dollar-based global economic system because they could more readily interface with their fellow tribalist bankers who dominate the West.  After the fall of Ukraine (and consequently the USD system), that argument will not carry the same weight.

I will say that the ratio of Russian expenditures to arms production capacity is HIGHLY favorable compared to the West.  That tells me that Putin managed to do a reasonable good job at quelling corruption at least as it relates to national defense.