With price dropping today from $30K to around $29K, are you worried there will be a deeper correction, or return to bear market, or is this just the short-term correction before re-testing $30K? Many speculators anticipated rejection from $30K level, as this was previously support for 18 months in from 2021 to mid 2022. Although so far (as of writing) we have only seen a -5% correction to $29K. Ultimately I think it's too early to tell if price will correct further to $25K, $23K or break the recent higher low of $20K. But nonetheless people have started to get concerned, hence this thread.
Some positives to consider:
- Price remains above all Daily moving averages (20,50,200) while above $29K, so far from bearish longer-term
- Price remains in a bull flag / upwards trend since mid March with short-term support level around $28.6K
- Price previously broke through $25K strong resistance that could well turn into new support
- The current sell-off isn't supported by strong volume, similar to the move to $30K initially
These are just a few factors that come to mind. While short-term (1hr/4hr) price can be seen as bearish, it remains bullish on the Daily time-frame and still reversing the bearish trend on Weekly/Monthly time-frames. Personally I think $28K level is likely to act as strong support, due to the 3 weeks of consolidation/accumulation that occurred recently. Otherwise below this level I think a re-test of the 200 WMA around $26K, as well as $25K becomes increasingly likely. The 200 Day MA however continues to rise from $20K, now above $21K, with major consolidation/accumulation zone currently priced at around $23K.