@tazmantasik Italy’s form went down the drain and if you see their last few matches their performance was really bad, hence I’m not at all surprised to see those odds for them. Also for me France and England are the obvious favourites, but as I have seen in the past that the favourites don’t always win so there’s yet hope for Italy to win and impress us like they used to do in the past.
That's the problem and the beauty of football competitions. To win the title a team needs to have luck, not only quality. Because in knockout games one red card or one penalty can make all the difference and otherwise inferior team can win. That's why I actually don't like to say that some team will probably win a competition because you never know. Look at Croatia and how they played at the last two World Cups. They finished as second and third team and I honestly can't say (even though I'm from Croatia) that Croatia is one of the top three teams in the world.
I agree that anything could happen but I disagree Croatia is an example to that, they weren't a small club in any means, they did it twice in a row now and that should be proof that they play very well, if they were just lucky with some games and beat some bigger clubs with luck, like red card or penalty whatever, they can do it once, but they did it twice in a row now.
Modric would probably be out for 2026 so I doubt they would be able to do it for a third time, but they really put a great team together there for these two competitions. However, what Morocco did could be considered as such, because nobody gave them a chance to be at semi finals and yet they were, that is as good as it gets for them if you ask me and a great achievement.