I think nothing is impossible in bitcoin price movement, today the price reached more than $ 28500 but if there is a crash it can be easy to return to $ 10k, this is common, for example like in 2021 it reached over $ 69k many people said it was impossible the price will drop below $30k but it only took 5 months for the price to drop below $30k.
Surprises can happen at any time, but if you carefully analyze the market as well as combine other factors, the possibility of bitcoin falling below $12,000 is unlikely. For me, last year the bears were unable to bring bitcoin down to 10k, this year it is even more impossible because bitcoin is recovering very well.