even if I were an investor, I would definitely choose an active project and avoid inactive projects, because it is very important that the team and project developers provide new news or developments from the project they are investing in
Mate, the problem is not all of active projects will become a success project in the future.
For example, there are many active meme coin projects out there, but im not sure those projects will last long.
true, being active just one of many cause that could make a project succeed but definitely not the real deterministic factor that gonna make it certain this project gonna succeed.
one could be an active project but still fail anyway because they've got no quality whatsoever. so I agree, not all active project could become success.
I also think that not all active projects will be successful. The activity can be different. For example, some developer may create the appearance of active development on github, but in reality it will be small changes in the code. I believe this can also apply to already successful projects. For example Polkadot was recently ranked number one in development activity on github. But no one knows what that activity is.