It is difficult to say that the current pump is due to Russian influence, as we know that the development of bitcoin users is increasing rapidly and in Africa there has been an increase of up to thousands of percent since 2021 so the pump is due to a significant increase in the number of users.
I would also like to agree with you in this point that it is really difficult in my opinion Russia is not the cause for this pump. I think market is running on his own speed . If we see that the next halving is not so far from now , So think before starting the halving pump I think these steps are for the recovering. Even then Bitcoin is now also a lot far from its all time high and after the q1 of 2023 it is recovering over 31k so I think there is no influencing of Russia for the pump.