Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
You're more of a bear than my cute avatar 
My bear-masked estimates are
LET'S GIVE PROBABILITIES TO THE FOLLOWING EVENTS
a) In 2014, price will visit below 100 = 40%
b) In 2014, price will visit below 200 = 60%
c) In 2014, price will visit below 300 = 70%
d) In 2014, price will visit below 400 = 80%
e) In 2014, price will visit above 500 = 30%
f) In 2014, price will visit above 750 = 5%
g) In 2014, price will visit above 1000 = 1%
h) In 2014, price will visit above 1250 = 0% (for practical purposes)
/LET'S GIVE PROBABILITIES TO THE FOLLOWING EVENTS
I see a problem with these guesstimates. A bottom of around 300$ is not really bearish.
And from 300$ within 6 months it's quite possible to go over 1000$.
The really bearish scenario is with a bottom below 200$, then it's going to be difficult to reach above 1000$ in 2014.