If we look at the current odds, Manchester City is actually the favorite if you look at the bookies' predictions, but on the other hand, something like this is not something that will definitely make them qualify for the final.
Currently Madrid is the defending champion and playing at the Bernabeu with odds of 3.20 is of course very tempting.
Apart from Haaland's existence at Manchester City which is being touted as a differentiator, in my opinion this is too much of a wishful thinking because of course Madrid is also not a weak team that will let Haaland move as he pleases in this match.
well, the problem is that some Madrid players are experiencing fitness problems. such as Luca Modric, David Alaba, Ferlan Mendy, who are still doubtful that they have fully recovered from their injuries. which is possible, in the Copa del Rey game some others can get injured again. and that, will be very detrimental to Madrid. however, we'll see what Don Carlo will do in the match against City. because after all, Madrid is not an easy team to overthrow, especially since they also have a winning mentality in this competition.
Meanwhile, on the City side, they could be in trouble as Nathan Ake seems to have picked up an injury problem against Leed. if the injury is severe enough, that means, Pep Guardiola will slightly change the strategy in the match later. but if we refer to the statistics and odds of the bookie, City has a higher probability than the opposing team Madrid to win the match and that is very reasonable. moreover, right now they are on fire. but for sure, we just follow every latest development regarding these two teams. However, if I had to choose, I would favor City.