Looks like the legit Western politicians and their constituents have been gyped and played for fools.  Ukraine's leadership took a lot of money and weapons over the year promising a 'greatest counteroffensive' and it seems that they mostly just stole the money and have little or no intention of doing much fighting.  Well played!  The oligarchs like Kolomoiski didn't get rich because they are stupid and they didn't fund the nazis because they love the ideology.

I predict that Ukraine will do a couple of feeble pokes here and there, and will 'gain some ground', but mostly because the Russians love to fight under conditions where they can get 10/1 kill ratios.  It's very effective 'de-militarization' of Ukraine which was one of the primary stated goals of SMO.  Any territory 'lost' by the Russians will be re-occupied almost for free a bit later on in the game assuming the Russians are even interested in it.