The last time (first in their history) City got to the final a couple of seasons ago, it was against Chelsea and Pep made some tactical tweaks that day which really affected the team, resulting in quite a very poor game from City in which they eventually lost. I don't think that's going to happen this season, City are on a whole different level and Pep knows perfectly what his best tactics and personnel are this season. This is definitely City's season to win that elusive champions league trophy, and i would never bet against them doing it.