I recently found this (wish i would have found it at the beginning of this year i swear i would be rhich right now xD)
What is the difference between now and the beginning of the year when we look at the price of BTC? The difference is about $6000-7000 and you haven't missed anything important that cannot be compensated, so you can become rich by the end of the year or even sooner

as you can see BTC is doing actually almost exactly what it is supposed to do according to the cheat sheet. Right now we are close to the Dip between the double top after the "ANGER" Phase of the cheat sheet.
The price is more or less following the old patterns before the last halvings and is slowly recovering after bottoming out last year at under $15k, and everyone who followed those patterns has already filled their bags and has already made 100% profit. Others who, like you, analyze what will happen with some shitcoin or with some CEX will very likely regret the missed opportunities again, but it is a story that is constantly repeated, and I am not surprised that nothing has changed even today.