I have a mindset that when the game gets too simple, people will easily predict the market will go up, and bitcoin will hit ATH after the halving.  then we will all sell bitcoins for profit, so who will buy those bitcoins for us?  I'm not surprised that most people vote that the bull run will start after the halving and only 1 vote that there will be no bull market.  this is the financial market and where the sharks are trying to get our money, so when things get too predictable, I don't think that will happen anymore. i still expect history to repeat itself, but I still don't rule out the possibility that everything will be turned upside down and the game will be reset.