I'm a pleb like most of you, and I too have, many times, become pesimistic about the economy in general and in what's about to come. But has anyone ever considered that,
- The economy is not going to crash into a recession
- That there will be an actual soft landing
- That the Russia - Ukraine war will not escalate into a European war
- That Gensler CAN'T truly ban crypto
- Institutional investors will come back and take Bitcoin to six digits
I'm probably missing more narratives, but you get the idea.
Even if I will manage to be optimistic in all the options you mentioned above, I am not optimistic about the economy not crashing into recession. I have read about the economy of different countries, especially third world countries and everything about it is scary.
There is no clear pattern that the government of these countries are implementing to rescue the situation. There are no lasting fiscal policies, there are no citizen friendly laws made to curb or curtail the rate of inflation.
Even as I type now, inflation is eating many countries raw.
Then the saddest part of it all is that the greedy leaders of these countries in mess have no other alternative than to print more fiat which they will end up embezzling .