None of the expectations of Bitcoin this year failed if you noticed and judged based on the time when the bullish market started which happened early and last than the previous market. Therefore, the BTC market breakout now because of the previous bullish trend, and the FUD in the market.
This 2023 market is like 2019 market. Both years are in a last year of bear market and they are both preparation for coming halvings one year later. Bitcoin broke out from $30,000 and is bullish now but I will not trade it at this moment. Because after the break out, it can rise a lot to $40,000 or $45,000. Trading it now is risky and if I sell it, it rises more, I will lose my bitcoin, can not buy it back with same amount.
I am holding my bitcoin now, hold very tightly, more tightly than recent weeks.
Agreed about the market trend but some crypto investors seem to focus more on the season when the market is doing well than the season when it is bearish.
Although I am not a crypto trader but as you said crypto trading is risky and it is better to go for long. For holders selling now is not a good idea and that's why I look for an alternative instead of selling my BTC now.