Wondering if the more experienced ppl here can help, being a smallish miner I'm curious about how I would calculate my personal "luck" percentage as of now.
I've been consistently throwing a variety of different ASICs (totaling from 80T to a few PHs at a time) to this pool for over a year, and accross a few different wallets. Because it's not been consistnetly X TH/s I'm not sure how I can figure out approximately where I am. Am I still at 1% am I at 10% or more? Is it a function of total shares submitted relative to total network difficulty? And if so what is the formula to figure it out?
I've been tracking some data, like for example in total I've submitted approx this many shares:
1,948,660,040,000
And my best share thus far is:
1,474,956,179,560.041
What other info do I need to calculate my total personal luck at this point? And yes I know, it's just a simple game of odds and totally random, but after over a year I'd like to know a little more accurately just how lucky I've been.
Appreciate any info or help in figuring this out - thanks folks!
Sadly there is no such thing as "progress towards a block". Only your hashrate from this point onwards counts. Your probability is purely related to what your current hashrate is.