Now that we don't know where the price of BTC is trajectory heading, This method could help most people to channel their gains in different ways but then, what other investment do you think is solid to balance risk and returns in investment?
many people just "trend anal" the price history. they totally ignore the value-premium window that speculation sits within
you can calculate this window.
take the most efficient asic of a period and measure the total costs of mining btc across a average period
for instance in 2022 the window of speculative opportunity was $15k-$90k
and as proven in that year the market never dipped below $15k
the current Q2: 2023 window is $22k-$140k
yes no one knows where the market price will be tomorrow. but we know it will be within that window of speculation
other factors are with knowing major mining farms still have 2021-2022 energy prices locked in for 12-24 month contracts they have yet to be impacted by the inflation rise of energy. so expect the bottom window to increase soon pushing the bottom support up further(as long as hashpower doesnt decline)
once you look at those factors you see the downward potential is neglegable but the upward potential has more possibilities
in short. forget prices of 2009-2020 we wont be seeing them ever again (unless drastic hashpower drop)
the underlying support of mining cost from value(most efficient on planet) to premium(expensive on planet) sets a window the price speculates in. which usually rises. meaning it makes the potential price speculation within that window rise