There is heavy instutions money waiting on 15k-20k to buy it so it's unlikely the price of btc can go lower then 15-20k more likely the 18k-20k Will hold BTC price well. But generally the 2023 will be kinda smooth year btc will stay 20k-30k price range. The next following months shows that nothing special just boring kinda sideways market for btc.
The 20k price Will be likely lowest in 2023-2024.
Where do you get this kind of information regarding the position of institution money because institutional investors itself doesn’t disclose their position in the public. Can you provide valid source or you are basing your opinion base on exchange price depth volume?
Your price prediction is very close to the current price while you are predicting for the next year forecast.