Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
JayJuanGee
on 17/04/2014, 22:24:32 UTC
I foresee a race to the bottom where most countries try to debase, debauch and devalue their own currency faster than other countries until somebody cracks. What i am saying is that China shows signs of cracking. Japan has already begun the process of cracking, because they have a 30 year head start in the process.

Since 2008 *everyone* has been devaluing their currency.   But its not competitive devaluation, it's co-operative devaluation, an open conspiracy of central banks.  By co-ordination they avoid excessive relative slippage, which avoids most of the political problems with inflating away debt -- the rest are solved by simply funneling money to the principal debtors.  The ECB, because of its nominal mandate, has a really hard time monetizing debt on its own, but it can accomplish this through the back door by coordinated easing.  I don't know what is the quid pro quo they are giving to the U.S., but I'm sure the tab will come due sooner or later.  This kinda, sorta works as long as all the majors are co-operating.  It has been brutal for emerging markets, and it may fall apart if one of the majors defects badly, but it does kick the can another lap down the road.


Yeah.. I never thought about it like that... the reason no one of these big countries get in trouble is that they are doing this together.. and the people of each and all of  the countries are screwed and the small countries are screwed even more.  So even if we can buy a bitcoin for $10K, the $10K is not going to be worth too much (if they are doubling the supply of $$ every several years).  This all seems to justify that BTC may go up even higher and faster.... I sure hope so b/c floating around at $500 is NOT so exciting.. even though it is better than floating at $420 or $350, which was the case last week.