Why do you think that someone can give you a precise answer to that question? We can speculate as much as we want, but it will not make us any smarter to come up with an answer that could be considered precise in the sense you expect. Scenario A is that something positive will happen that will push the BTC price up, and scenario B is that something negative will happen that will keep the price below $30 000.

Anyway, expecting a big bull run in the year before the halving has so far turned out to be an unrealistic option, but no one is stopping you from hoping, you can even write a letter to Santa Claus to make your wish come true