~snip~
There are two things going on here. First of all, Trump got a boost from the mugshot drama and then Biden's approval is at historical lows. Job Approval is at -12 to -16 now, which is much worse that the ratings that Trump had when he was in power. One major contributing factor to Biden's continued poor show is the rising crude oil prices. When Trump was in power, crude oil was trading at $40-$50 per barrel. It has gone up by 2x now. And this is going to have a direct impact on the retail inflation inside the United States.
Good points.
Still there's a lot of time for the election, and there's probably going to be a lot of things happening from now until then.
My guess is that Trump will continue to gain more momentum with a continuous series of controversies, and Biden will slowly continue to lose ground.
It will be definitely an interesting thing to watch.