I don't want my head wrapped around the idea that Bitcoin will repeat history, this is the present not the past so anything can change at any time, I won't wait around thinking because the last bear market deceived many people so the same will happen again, a bear market is bear market and the only way to not lose yourself is to DCA slowly into your favorite gems.
The big players like black rock and others are doing all they can to shake many people off the crypto space right now, and only those who are brave will remain, how low Bitcoin is going to go is not what matters to me, what I am most into is making money to keep accumulating before it's over.
A piece of advice, take action and wait for the better days, nothing stays the same for a long period, this bear market will come to an end, probably after the next halving, from now till next year could be the last chance we have to accumulate.