Ninjastic
PostEdited versionsQuotes to this post
Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread
by
rendravolt
on 28/09/2023, 03:05:55 UTC
Quote from: KTChampions on September 27, 2023, 03:02:22 PM
Quote from: rendravolt on September 27, 2023, 01:23:48 PM
Quote from: KTChampions on September 27, 2023, 11:37:46 AM
At the moment, bookmakers' quotes for this game are as follows:

3.45 - 4.30 - 1.93

1.93 to win Bayern is quite rare to see in the Bundesliga, but obviously after the Super Cup defeat to Leipzig with a score of 3-0 this is an adequate odds. If it weren’t for the game with Bayer which Bayern couldn’t win, then I would be confident in Bayern because here they have 100% motivation. But as the game with Bayer showed, they are still not good enough.
This is an away match for Bayern Munich so naturally they get better odds. Moreover, their opponents, Leipzig, have been regulars in the top 4 since the 16/17 season, so I think even though Bayern Munich are the favorites, in the current situation it will certainly raise doubts. Maybe what makes me a little confused is determining who will win in this match and betting on one of the teams will of course still be dangerous for the results of our bet. So what is certain is that betting on both teams to score with odds @1.40 or over 2.75 goals with odds @1.47 is a safe choice so far.

This may be a safe choice, but the odds are too low. I see that BTTS No is listed as 2.78 and this attracts me more. In general, I think that the BTTS No bet is worth making in any case if the odds are not less than 3 (rarely, but such cases happen like last year in the Barcelona - Bayern game) and as you can see now the odds are quite close to this figure.
BTTS (No) is indeed very tempting with odds @2.85 (current update) but it is very impossible if one of these two teams cannot score a goal. However, I think the two teams will draw first in the first half with a score of 1-1 or even later Leipzig will take the lead first with a score of 1-0 before finally the situation is reversed by Bayern Munich in the second half with a score of 1-2 or 2- 3. That's just speculation on my part and apart from that, I think both teams can't be stopped from scoring goals. Moreover, this will be a duel between Luis Openda and Harry Kane to continue to increase their number of goals.