[...] it could easily attract a lot of investors like what happened in the past if we are near the event, then after that it is going to drop down a few percentage, then somewhere after the Bitcoin halving event we could expect the Bullrun and that's the time that we could possible reach the 100k$.
Retail investors often find themselves ensnared by news events, in contrast to institutional investors who possess the power to influence candlestick movements. The significant impact remains under the control of asset holders with substantial quantities and those with media access to manipulate public emotions.
Indeed, the halving event can trigger a sharp price increase, but we must remain vigilant as it is not guaranteed by any robust foundation. Market trends could potentially diverge or not align with the expectations of the majority of speculators, a scenario that frequently materializes. I will continue to hope for a bull run in the market after the halving, but I will also exercise caution regarding the worst-case scenario that could potentially unfold, ensuring the safety of my finances.
Retail investors will definitely see what happens with the news on social media especially in FOMO is likely to affect their emotions after seeing some fud coming made by the whales to manipulate prices to buy at low prices while retailers sell in urgency and panic.
They believe the halving event will go up because they see the previous history although there is no strong foundation what happens in the future will be the same or not, but still many people believe including myself with the next halving will trigger the bullish coming.
Regarding negative or positive market trends, it will always come, we must be wise to draw conclusions, especially when taking decent profits.