BUT all we see is markets are not reacting in the way how the fundemantals says it should. One of them is probably "lying". Who? The fundamentals or the markets?
From my perspective, you are still overly focusing on macro factors and presuming BTC correlation. .or even presuming that bitcoin might go down before it goes up.. so even if the various macro markets might continue to be inflated and due for various crashes, whether talking about the stock market, properties and other bubbles, that does not necessarily mean that bitcoin is not the place to be.. even though surely we have seen in the very short term (like a liquidity event similar to March 2020), all assets seemed to have had been flocking to the dollar, and sure that can happen again.
Perhaps, and I'm still learning. BUT what you and many other people might have already read or learned is, it's Bitcoin's first time to exist in a recession environment and although you might be right in that Bitcoin might not be affected if other markets are crashing, I still believe that it's safe to conclude that there's a HIGHER probability that it could crash together with the rest of those other markets.
Would that be a non-biased/impartial presumption?
The response to this is not far-fetched. Cast your mind back to 2020 market behavior due to the pandemic, what was the response of Bitcoin to that? While several assets crashed including big stocks but that was the beginning of the bull run for Bitcoin. What does this tell you? To make it simple, when every other things else fails, Bitcoin will will always survive. I have the strong conviction that Bitcoin will even enjoy strong growth even if there is a global market crash.
So, what is the best timing for us to take advantage when prices rise, namely with a long investment position.
I think to take advantage of price increase is to DCA as soon as we can determine that resistance has been broken. So the challenge is the certainty we need that the trend has turned upwards because btc is highly volatile and can drop back within 24 hours to return back bear So my advise to taking advantage of bull ride is to DCA but on a reason that it has been confirmed for bull.
To me, until the next halving, Bitcoin may not reach the all time high. This mean that the price of Bitcoin is considerably fine now to buy. Those who want to take advantage of the low price can do it before the end of this year because when we enter 2024, there will be so much positive news and interest in Bitcoin, this will make it difficult to enter again as it may appear the price is too high. At this point, it is only those using DCA that can buy whereas those waiting for the dips might continue waiting.