Anyway, I want Casimero to get the winner of Inoue-Tapales since the Nery fight is too risky unless it's a title eliminator which guarantees the winner a title fight. And the fight should not happen in Mexico. Casimero-Nery would be a guaranteed war and it could be 50/50 or something close.
Yes, we wanted the winner facing Casimero next, assuming the John Riel winning against Oguni. But it make sense as well to see Casimero vs Nery going for a like title eliminator as you have said, winner facing Inoue. And I like that fight because as you have describe it, going to be war and who will see if Nery can handle the power of Inoue at 122 lbs.
Casimero is expected to win over Oguni anyway. It'll be a shame if Casimero will have a hard time beating Oguni who's already inactive. So who do you think becomes the favorite if in case a Casimero-Nery happens in the US? I slightly favor Nery since he is the more proven fighter in this division and he is still in his late 20s while Casimero is already in his mid-30s.
But I just want Casimero to not enter into deals after the Oguni fight and wait for the outcome of the Inoue-Tapales which is expected this coming December 26. I also expect both Casimero and Nery available after the Inoue-Tapales bout since the Japanese might pick either of them in his next return. So it might be hard to make a Casimero-Nery this time until Inoue decides who is next after Tapales provided he becomes undisputed.
I really have the feeling that Inoue might move up after a single defense of his undisputed championships. The timing is just too perfect for a move to 126 late next year considering that its current champions are beatable and are easy to negotiate if the plan is to once again unify all the 4 belts.