I do think that the majority of every football fan do believe that Haaland will get this but we should also remember that not every year the one that deserves it the most ended up getting it. Lets realize that Messi won the world cup and the world of football may want to give him the reward one last time.
One thing about the Balon d'or is that it is a sentimental award; it doesnt necessarily satisfy and rewards based on activity on the football pitch; but rather on the sentiments of voters who are (country captains, club captains, journalists etc). Who ever wins between Haaland and Messi; just know they got the most votes