Honestly, I've only seen the chances getting significantly better when an extremely significant number of innocent people are negatively impacted. Emphasis on innoncent people as I'm talking about false positives. and I don't think both the old and recent ban wave meet that.

I believe big hacks and exit scams still have the strongest impact when it comes to enhancing the odds of making people look into dex or non-custodial alternatives because more regular users are typically impacted all at the same time hence more buzz. But ofc, I'm not gonna wish for hacks and exit scams to happen lol.