Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL!
by
Riginac111
on 15/10/2023, 06:42:00 UTC
Certainly, it would be unwise decision, as suggested by @Jay to invest money in Bitcoin (highly volatile and risky asset) that is meant for essential expenses. It can indeed lead to financial trouble. Therefore, the key takeaway is to prioritize financial stability and have well thought out investment plan that doesn't jeopardize immediate needs.
have Funds in bitcoin (that can completely risk) and have funds for daily needs and for emergency as well , never to combined your for use money to for investing.
People who lose in their investing are those people that wanted an easy money when they don't fully understand how risky crypto investing is.
Understanding the distinction between investing and gambling is vital. Investing is like planting a tree and waiting for it to bear fruit, while gambling is like taking chance for quick wins, relying on luck rather than a long-term strategy.
back in the day , I tend to believe that Investing in crypo is like gambling but not when i started to understand like how you explained here .
that this is like fruit bearing trees vs Luck .

I am pretty sure that I agree with almost everything that you say bitterguy28 if you are talking about bitcoin - and surely you use the term crypto, so then I become confused if you are talking about the same thing since we are not talking about Crypto here in this thread... and therefore I am a bit unclear why you choose to use the word crypto.  Is it necessary?  Does it add anything to what you are saying?  

Surely investing in crypto is likely to be risky as fuck, especially if we might not even know what it is that is being referred to.  I surely wouldn't invest much if anything into crypto.. maybe a few percent of the size of my bitcoin, and I could understand that some people might want to play around with a higher percentage of their bitcoin stash.. but still going any greater than 10% would be difficult to justify absent some kinds of compelling reason about one or more of the shitcoins and then that investment would be particular to that particular one and how it might compare and contrast to bitcoin... but still we are not really talking about those kinds of considerations and calculations in this thread.

Do you think that if you changed your use of the word crypto to bitcoin, then you would be able to say the same thing that you already said, or why would you have felt that you need to bring up crypto when we are talking about bitcoin in this thread?  

Do you think that the same principles apply to crypto as apply to bitcoin?  That is confusing to just think about and surely I have my doubts..

I think it is a distraction, a bit misleading, and potentially gets us off track to be using the word "crypto" without clarifying what it is that you consider that you are talking about and/or making it clear why you chose to use such a word when you might have had really meant to use the word bitcoin, but you wanted to sound smarter, so you used the term "crypto" to suggest that whatever you were saying had broader applications beyond bitcoin.. Is that it?
It generalises the word, its not specific on the particular terminology to use to make his or her expression to be comprehensive, some time it maybe emotions because some misused this information and usage of language or intonation, bitcoin is a specific option in cryptocurrency and other coins is another branches find in cryptocurrency, whereas in this thread what we are discussing and emphasising on, is a bitcoin and it's investment, its contradictory using cryptocurrency in place of bitcoin I think anyone who is reading the content will not fully understand the gist of the communications using such world.

I made conscious decisions to leave value with both Bitfinex and BTC-e.. .. and there were times in which I changed my mind about how much BTC I was keeping with various third parties, and also coming to find out about how easy sim attacks make people vulnerable .. and they are still going on now... but in 2017, they were less common, but I probably should have realized a bit better regarding the sim swap attack vector.. .. so then if something like that ends up happening, there are ways to change some approaches in order to make funds less vulnerable to that attack vehicle, even though, sometimes, some funds might still be vulnerable through other attack mechanism.
We all make mistakes and put trust in things, in which we should not. I was not aware of the sim swap attack (basically from the term) but it really is scary, that someone could steal your phone number, but I am curious how a scammer would do that because to do that, a scammer would need some basic information. For example, In our country, when we have to change the number of one sim to another sim or to another number, it is compulsory for the real owner of the sim to be present at the franchise, (we cannot do that from home) and there we have to verify our fingerprints and then we are given the new sim with the same or new number (that depends on our need). I don't know how things work on your side, but I would love to know.

I don't want to get into too many details in this thread, and sure there likely are variations from country to country, but also sometimes there could be rogue actors who work for the companies too (at the employee level that end up getting access to such information and they could be part of the problem).

I think that more and more protections have gone into place since early 2017, at the time of my incident, but there are still incidents of sim swaps still happening through various weak points that might exist.. and surely hackers are able to stay up-to-date on some of the latest and greatest of possible vulnerable areas.

Sometimes they might not need very much information because if they get one or two of the passwords to your e-mail, and then they change the e-mail password and then they might log into various websites in which recovery of the password is the e-mail or the phone.. so then once the get a few of these pieces, then they don't need the password, and they can reset password and even sometimes set up things in their own name and surely they have orders to things in terms of which accounts to get first before going after subsequent accounts.  Sometimes people are not even available and realizing that they are being sim swap attacked until the next day because they might not be getting notifications, and surely one of the things that was strange about mine is that it seems that I caught it right away, and so I called up my phone company and they switched it back to me but then it kept switching back to the hacker.. so it wasn't like I wasn't trying to stay on top of things, but surely mistakes end up being made on my end too.. because sometimes there can be false senses of security when getting access back to the phone and/or the e-mails that were used.. but then by the time that the hacker goes through with the attack it seems that there might be multiple persons and/or a team doing a lot of things at once. .and even faster than you might think that they are able to do and questioning if you might shutdown your various bitcoin related accounts before they log into them.

I did search about SIM swap attacks and how we can avoid them, what I found is:

  • Use of multi-signature wallet
  • hardware wallet
  • not making accounts on phone numbers

And talking about other attacks, like hacking attempts i.e., phishing links etc, that's what you are talking about?

There sometimes can be some ways that some data can get leaked and you might not know that they got your password.. to an e-mail or something, and so once they have their foot in the door they might be able to get at other things and reset other things.  Sure there can be ways to use different e-mails for resetting or even using various authenticators and/or UBKey type devices that would make it more difficult for an attacker to get into as many accounts.. and using Sms authentication does tend to be a weak point when hackers get your phone number.

Some losses are BIGGER than others, and frequently there are ways to protect yourself even when taking risks, but one of the things about risks is that we don't always realize some of the risks that we are taking or we assign the wrong values and might end up with losses from which are more difficult to recover... financially and/or psychologically...
You are damn right, we take risk, and we don't even have idea that we are taking one, the best example I am seeing in current time is, many new investors of BTC, are investing in BTC and saying that they will make profit for sure as they think halving is coming and their funds will be doubled or tripled. But what I think is, they are ignoring the risk factor it has. Market's history is so obvious that, anyone would be convinced that market will go up but nobody sees at the risk side. I think they should realize it before it is too late for them.

 Of course, when electing between asset classes, and getting involved in shitcoins, then there is a need to consider both upside and downside rather than just upside potential.. while at the same time, I was not really talking about shitcoins, so the framework could be that as long as you understand that you can lose 100% of your bitcoin investment, then you should be able to invest (or position size) according to that understanding.  In other words, each of us should be prepared for the possibility that bitcoin could go to zero... so if we invest accordingly, we still could end up profiting a lot, even though we were prepared for the possibility that we might not profit.

If you don't use leverage or engage in other crazy ways of investing into bitcoin, then the most you could lose would be 100%... but if you do some of that leveraging and/or gambling with your bitcoin, you could either lose more or just lose it way faster, like several of those folks who were investing into various scams in 2021/2022 and many of them came crashing down (such as Celsius, Voyager, Blockfi, FTX, Terra/Luna, 3AC and maybe even Genesis and GBTC going through some of those uncertainties.. and sure there were some others, too), and some of those guys lost a lot of money, even though bitcoin did not go to zero..  Some of us regular BTC HODLers suffered from the BTC price going down, but then some of it has since recovered.. so we might not feel too bad as long as we continue to hold BTC and also some of us continued to buy BTC when the prices were going down too... or just buying on a regular basis, which should prove to be a decent way to have good potentials for longer term profits (but not guaranteed to accomplish such).

There are a lot of ways that people go through and deal with losses, and surely if all of the value was ONLY in BTC, then there might be more devastation.. but if the person had various other non-btc investments (such as stocks, properties, bonds and cash) that might have had been equal to 20 or 30 BTC at the time that s/he lost the 20 BTC, then there still is a nestegg of value in some other location.. so the loss in terms of half of the BTC portfolio might seem large in the short term, but there are various other reserve assets in other places... so such loss is not totally devastating.. only partially devastating..
You are talking about diversification, and I agree with you on this, I have read about diversification strategy to minimize the risk in making investments and also aware of its perks. I sometimes, think, a person who is in BTC, might not have enough funds to make investments in other types, but what solution I have is, to keep that extra amount in cash, because, like you said those who will have all of their capital and savings in BTC, have to face devastation. So, a person should know the difference between capital and savings and they should at least keep their savings in the form of fiat. What do you think? 

At least you should be making sure to monitor your cashflows, and if your expenses are in some kind of a fiat, it is good to make sure that you project out your cashflows for 6 to 24 months.. and account for regular expenses (fluctuations in cashflow that could come from changes in expenses and also changes in income), and also maintaining some kinds of funds in a kind of emergency fund.. which may well be in fiat because that would most likely be how the emergency expenses would get paid if such emergencies were to occur.
 
one of the funny things about bitcoin (or maybe any other greatly appreciating asset, that sometimes very large mistakes can be made, but mostly HODLers/accumulators still can end up making money, even if they might have made less money from their mistakes, they still can end up making money in some kinds of scenarios, as long as they don't get totally reckt, and this case, holding onto half of the BTC was part of the explanation for the devastation not being as bad as it could have had been.
Agreed.

I surely am not of the perspective that anyone should be waiting... but instead if such person does not have an emergency fund in place and does not have very many back up resources, then s/he can still invest into bitcoin, but just take a smaller position size while s/he is working on shoring up various ways to draw from emergency funds.  
Agreed, because many people do wait and totally depends on the investments, they have made in BTC like they think they would become millionaire overnight. The reality is a man has to push harder and break the limits he has set for himself. In simple words, we should not remain in our comfort zone, and should take risks and not depend on that risk only but we should work on other opportunities. Really mate you have an entrepreneurial mindset, like those financial motivators on TikTok (I hope you won't mind TikTok Cheesy Cheesy as many people hate when someone compares them with TikTok stars) or on any social media platform. Trying hard to motivate new generations.

Yes, I am sure some of the frameworks that "influencers" use are better than others.. and repackaging of good ideas does seem to happen, whether here or through some of the influencers, and surely whether you are communicating with me or you are considering what any influencer is saying, there are likely some times when you will disagree with parts, but you might not exactly know why right away, but surely the back and forth can create for some kinds of active and interactive learning where you end up learning more because you engaged in some back and forth, some skepticism, some critical thinking and probably overall trying to apply the ideas to your own ideas and/or practices.

so maybe instead of investing $100 per week into bitcoin, you only invest $10 per wee into bitcoin and use the other $90 per week to get your other shit together.. and so maybe it takes you 1-2 years before you can get your shit together sufficiently enough that you can move your weekly investment size up to $100 per week, but in the meantime, you had been investing $10 per week while you were putting in order other aspects of your financial and psychological life.
But there is one more side of this, for example, a person is losing shit, have enough money to feed himself and the family, or whatever other basic needs he has to fill, after that, if that person not able to safe funds or able to safe funds, one thing came up to his/her mind. And that is skepticism, they just don't want to take risk and want to leave that circle that they draw around themselves. I hope you are getting my point here. And this happens due to the doubt, ambiguity and fear in their minds and hearts, they know they might not bear the risk's results.
Yes..
maybe I assumed that once a person has already decided that s/he is getting into bitcoin, then that person is largely considering position size and how to advance from being able to invest $10 per week and getting up to a higher amount, such as $100 per week.. S/he already had the conviction, and surely there are so many people who do not have conviction, and maybe they still might choose to invest $10 per month because of their skepticism...
The thing is that some people get very wrong investing in bitcoin and when they are investing in bitcoin they doesn't consider the disadvantages of bitcoin what they concentrate on is only in the advantages of bitcoin, investing in bitcoin does not necessarily guarantee you being the investor you will multiple your capital twice or triple times, some challenges is involve in investing in bitcoin which might hit you the investor at neck and all your expectations will crumble..for weekly and getting a reasonable amount of profit it depends on how is the market conditions and specific amount the investor invested that will yield the profit, the larger the value of bitcoin invested the larger the profit  gain

Second, it is a bit sloppy for you to suggest that there is some kind of a guarantee in bitcoin, even though bitcoin has been a good investment and has decently good chances to continue to be a good investment, it is not guaranteed to have "satisfying results."
Bitcoin is a good investment when you have catch up with the scenario of bitcoin and particularly when you have the investment plan in your diary, but it's well know that you can not depend or trust on bitcoin investment hundred 💯  that it will guarantee you success every time, some people do invest in bitcoin because of primary information they obtain elsewhere without verification and research properly about it, and they do think that is the shortest way of making wealth or getting rich, whereas in bitcoin investment their no much assurance that we shall depend on the investment of Bitcoin.


Only people who can afford to risk with money intended for their expenses on bitcoin are those who view it as a get-rich scheme. Someone who is completely knowledgeable about bitcoin won't make that decision since they know what will happen to their investment if they don't intend to hodl it for a long time.
the risk involve in bitcoin investment is for personal decision and some times their is something we suppose to consider in bitcoin, taking the risk of it is when you decide to invest with your spare money not when you invest with your savings, so when you invest with your spare money the investment can stay as long as you wanted and it's the time you liable to make profit, before I joined bitcointalk.org I have been investing in bitcoin for long and I do invest for long term not short term.

No one can predict the price of Bitcoin tomorrow, therefore anyone investing in it with money intended for their expenses should be prepared to accept whatever losses or profits they receive when the need for their investment in Bitcoin arises. 
Yes, no body can predict accurately of bitcoin but sometimes when you don't listen to predictors that gives fake information about when bitcoin is increasing and when is not increasing and face your chart and study it very well, you can be approximately on the positive side of bitcoin during the predictions.

While you are correct to be specific in term but isn't obvious that we are in bitcoin section thag whe . Mentioned crypto will stand to that specific coin?

And upon reading your whole post you are the one who is confusing the thread for pointing shitcoin.
basically what we are pointing out is here is a bitcoin, and pointing any other coins you have to be specific, as you said that is the one that is contradictory everything here, I think that you are right..even Jay said that we are not making reference of cryptocurrency what we are discussing is directly bitcoin and mostly selling and holding. Even though someone want to mention any other coins I think that the coin name have to be mentioned not by generalising it with shitcoin, so from my understanding is not quite understood