This is a nice observation and projection and I agree with you completely. Bitcoin is already showing some willingness to remain above $30k as it appears the regime of below $30k is gone. It will be interesting to see Bitcoin reach $45k and when it does, then the 2015-2016 price profile is conformed and that will form the premise for aggressive buying.
Now it's below 30k again. Usually after three months of bitcoin in its previous year of halving, it remains bulish. We saw some negativity in our previous month but from this month until the end of the year bitcoin price can remain positive and if bitcoin can stay above 30k for few weeks it will work as a support for the bitcoin price. 30k seems hard for bitcoin to cross and hold.